In 2010 1-11 month, our country produces ship of 14750000 tons, more than last year14065000 tons gross. Since the fourth quarter, China's shipbuilding output has remained at about 1500000 tons per month level, so in 2010 the year of China s ship production is expected to exceed 16000000tons. Price, from the view of domestic ship, price moderate, early in 2010 the ship average price of about4600 yuan per ton, the price of about5000 yuan per ton, rise extent is 87%. The specific point of view, the first half of last year, domestic ship price fluctuations are high, but the second half of the year is relatively stable. But, notably, in the iron and steel, Baosteel raised ex-factory price in January this year the ship under the condition, the future price is expected to remain strong, ship enterprises still need to make unremitting propulsion cost control work.
Shipbuilding" appetite" open, ship production is rising
Industry of our country shipping" appetite" open was the last ship production is the main cause of rising. According to statistics, in 2010 1-11 months, the completion of the national shipbuilding capacity of 56760000tons deadweight, and the year is expected to exceed 60000000carring capacity ton close greatly. With the 200942430000 DWT shipbuilding compared to last year, about40% growth. Ship industry thinks, this year our country shipbuilding will still maintain a certain growth, domestic ship production may also increase. ,
Exports, China Shipbuilding export continued to slump, to enhance the contribution of ship production limited. " In 2010 1-11 months, a total of only outlet of our country plate 3950000tons, and wherein the ship proportion than in previous years has declined." My steel analyst Zhu Xian said:" this is mainly because before a few years of import large - Korean shipbuilding capacity has been able to fully meet, even beyond their own ship enterprises needs; at the same time, Vietnam and other emerging shipbuilding nation has not walked out of the shadow of the international financial crisis, the ship imports significantly reduced."
From the production point of view, in 2009 I plate production capacity has exceeded 43000000tons. Last year I plate steel production is still on the increase, but the growth rate slowed markedly compared with 2009. Last plate new capacity is mainly from the Anshan Iron and steel company, Xiangtan iron and steel, duckweed steel enterprises. At present, from the production specifications and varieties, domestic ship has been able to meet the majority of market demands, but according to ship enterprises procurement departments to reflect, iron and steel enterprises in China in recent years to add in the plate production line remains to be run-in, in product quality has to be improved.
The influence of various factors, the price rose a modest
In 2009, the ship price fluctuation is more intense, from go to the beginning of the5600 yuan per ton perch slipped to3700 yuan per ton lower, at the end of last year and climbed back to4600 yuan per ton. Unlike last year, domestic ship plate prices rising trend more modest:2010 1-3 month, domestic ship price stability in the4600-4850 yuan per ton; at the end of 4's to the early 7, the domestic price per ton ship wave rise, or up to 500 yuan, up to 5300 yuan per ton, then dropped to 4800 yuan per ton; after August, domestic ship the price is certain in have litre, has now risen to5000 yuan per ton.
Specific in light of, last year to promote ship prices of the main factors are: iron ore, coke and other iron and steel smelting raw material prices; other varieties of steel such as steel and other affected by seasonal factors, the price rises considerably, drive the ship prices; machinery manufacturing, steel and other industries grew rapidly, on the plate demand increases, causing the plate prices. However, last year some restricted ship prices" old disease" recurrence, such as plate overcapacity, ship export deletion, to eliminate backward production capacity of the medium plate with little.
It is noted that, as a distinctive varieties of steel, because supply and demand contradiction is relatively outstanding. Shipbuilding market performance has a greater than before, so speculative short-term capital rarely involved, the last stable ship price also played a big role in. Ship plate steel market" has become a weak varieties, it is also easy to see, it is not out of a wave plate prices last year from China's special market steel price trend." Zhu Xian says.
Ore prices will remain high, plate price still rise?
Mid December, Baosteel, Anshan Iron and steel were introduced in2011January steel products ex-factory price policy, the main varieties of steel per ton100-350 yuan150-300 yuan, up. Ship plate, Anshan Iron and steel increase 100 yuan per ton, adjusted the price excluding tax of 4190 yuan per ton (this is a bulk purchase price ); steel increase 150 yuan per ton, adjusted the price excluding tax of 4800 yuan per ton. Other major shipbuilding production enterprises close period of time ship price per ton is also generally rose 100-300 yuan, the ship currently does not contain tax price of 4260 yuan per ton,4250 yuan per ton at Shagang, is 4180 yuan every tons, steel per ton to 4170 yuan,4200 yuan per ton for shougang. According to the insiders, in the expected rise in iron ore prices, this year January of domestic ship price may well with steel prices rose overall.
Iron ore has once again become a important factor affecting the domestic steel prices. Although last year's fourth quarter iron ore price agreement by 10%, but the first quarter of 2011prices will rise7%. Now cause a temporary clamour. To say nothing of, iron ore price agreement really rise, but it did show that the market for the iron ore price trend of an expected. Of course, this expectation may indirectly affect the pricing of iron and steel enterprises. Reportedly, at present, India 63.5% Branch mine landed the contract price has reached173-175 dollars per ton. In addition, coke, iron and steel smelting adding elements such as prices have also played a role. According to the insiders, the current, although the shipbuilding capacity has excess, but prices have been close to the cost of production lines, iron and steel enterprises have been very difficult to pass continue to lower prices to obtain new orders, if the price of market feedback is not good, the iron and steel enterprises are likely to start production again.